Predicting Packet Transmission Data over IP Networks Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems

Abstract

Problem statement: The statistical modeling for predicting network traffic has now become a major tool used for network and is of significant interest in many domains: Adaptive application, congestion and admission control, wireless, network management and network anomalies. To comprehend the properties of IP-network traffic and system conditions, many kinds of reports based on measured network traffic data have been reported by several researchers. The goal of the present contribution was to complement these previous researches by predicting network traffic data. Approach: The Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) was realized by an appropriate combination of fuzzy systems and neural networks. It was applied in different applications which have been increased in recent years and have multidisciplinary in several domains with a high accuracy. For this reason, we used a set of input and output data of packet transmission over Internet Protocol (IP) networks as input and output of ANFIS to develop a model for predicting data. Results: ANFIS was compared with some existing model based on Volterra system with Laguerre functions. The obtained results demonstrate that the sequences of generated values have the same statistical characteristics as those really observed. Furthermore, the relative error using ANFIS model was better than this obtained by Volterra system model. Conclusion: The developed model fits well real data and can be used for predicting purpose with a high accuracy.